Assured to finish at worst 5th after its defeat in Toulouse, one place better than in the last two seasons, OL also knows that its final ranking will determine the European competition it will play next season, either Champions League, directly or via a qualifying round and a playoff, or Europa League.
Here are the scenarios for OL’s final ranking. It is worth noting that OL has the same goal difference as Lille (+17), but the advantage on the second tiebreaker of direct confrontations (2 victories 1-0 and 1-0), and a better goal difference with Rennes (+17 compared to +11) but a draw in their two confrontations (loss 1-3 and win 4-2).
OL finishes 3rd (direct qualification for C1)
– If they beat Lens and at the same time, Lille does not win against Auxerre: OL 63 points, Lille 62 or 61 points.
– If they draw against Lens, Lille loses to Auxerre, and Rennes does not win against Marseille: OL 61 points, Lille 61 points, Rennes 60 or 59 points.
OL finishes 4th (qualified for C1 playoffs)
– If they beat Lens and Lille beats Auxerre: Lille 64 points, OL 63 points.
– If they draw against Lens, Lille does not lose to Auxerre, and Rennes does not win against Marseille: Lille 64 or 62 points, OL 61 points, Rennes 60 or 59 points.
– If they lose to Lens, regardless of Lille’s result, and if Rennes does not win against Marseille: Lille 64, 62 or 61 points, OL 60 points, Rennes 60 or 59 points.
OL finishes 5th (qualified for Europa League)
– If they do not beat Lens, regardless of Lille’s result, and if Rennes wins against Marseille: Lille 64, 62 or 61 points, Rennes 62 points, OL 60 points.
