The confrontation between the United States and Iran appears to be entering a decisive phase, focusing on the control of the Strait of Hormuz and Tehran’s strategic energy infrastructure. In this context, Washington has deployed a significant military presence in the Middle East, while President Donald Trump has made numerous threats against the Iranian energy sector.
According to American and Israeli security sources, several thousand military personnel have been sent to the region, including approximately 4,500 sailors and Marines, along with substantial air and ground assets, including helicopters, F-35 combat aircraft, and armored vehicles. The Pentagon has also reportedly authorized the deployment of additional reinforcements from San Diego, indicating advanced operational readiness.
On the Israeli side, some officials describe a clearly offensive posture. One of them mentions the possibility of seizing strategic points, including the Kharg Island, the main Iranian oil export hub. Such an operation would severely impact Tehran’s energy revenues and provide Washington with a major leverage in the regional power dynamics.
However, this option comes with significant risks. Military experts warn of the complexities involved in such an operation, which could extend over several weeks and expose American forces to various threats, such as maritime mines, drones, or coastal attacks. Maintaining a secure maritime route in the long term would also pose a considerable logistical challenge, with immediate potential consequences on global energy markets.
Meanwhile, intelligence reports suggest instability at the top of the Iranian leadership. According to multiple sources, the new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is reportedly injured, isolated, and difficult to reach. Despite this, the Revolutionary Guards and some religious officials are said to continue exerting effective control over the country, ensuring power continuity amid extreme tensions.
