How many deportations will be carried out by the Trump administration this year? Will a major famine strike Gaza? These are serious questions, where lives are at stake. But they are also topics where two very trendy start-ups allow you to bet [not in France].
The legalization of sports betting in 2018 [in the United States] has led to a series of applications that have made gambling even easier. Kalshi and Polymarket offer this, but go even further. Now you can bet on the results of presidential or midterm elections, on future Israeli bombings, or on the potential divorces of Jeff Bezos and Mark Zuckerberg.
Betting on “any difference of opinions”
Tarek Mansour, CEO of Kalshi, described his intentions in clear terms at a conference organized by [investment fund] Citadel Securities in October 2025. “In the long term,” he said, “we have a vision to financialize everything and create a tradable asset from any difference of opinions.” It’s as dystopian as it sounds.
According to the enthusiasm they generate, the potential of these companies is not purely financial. They argue that the bets they capture provide a
Subscribe and get access to:
all our articles, the digital weekly, the app, the Morning Courier and our newsletters
Our readers have also read this
Article Source
Founded in February 2014 by Glenn Greenwald, the former journalist of the Guardian who was behind Edward Snowden’s revelations, this online magazine positions itself as the flagship of the First Look Media group, a project financed by eBay founder Pierre Omidyar. The Intercept highlights investigative journalism and regularly exposes scandals.
