By Giuseppe Gagliano, President of the Centro Studi Strategici Carlo De Cristoforis (Como, Italy)
It is no longer a local crisis but a systematic fracture
In the Western narrative, the war against Iran was supposed to be quick, surgical, almost educational: a few well-targeted strikes, a few infrastructure hits, a destabilized command chain, and that old belief that technological and military pressure is enough to break the political will of the adversary. Instead, the opposite is happening. As the attack widens, it becomes clear that Washington and Tel Aviv have not opened a controlled military parenthesis, but a systemic crisis aimed at hitting energy, logistics, finance, maritime transport, and regional power dynamics. The problem is not just that Iran is holding on. The problem is that Iran has turned the Strait of Hormuz, from a mere strategic passage, into a geopolitical command lever.
The attack on infrastructures and the boomerang effect
The most serious qualitative leap has been the extension of the conflict to energy infrastructures. Hitting the Iranian part of the South Pars field does not just mean damaging a facility: it means affecting the core of the country’s electrical, industrial, and civilian supply, which for years has been preparing for a lengthy confrontation. But the impact of this move did not stop at Iran. It reached Qatar, shook the regional gas balance, injected panic into the markets, and opened a much broader crisis than envisaged by those who thought of using energy as an intimidation tool.
… (The article continues detailing the analysis of the situation in the Middle East and the impact of the conflict on global geopolitics and trade) …
