Dear reader,
Will the war resume in Iran? As negotiations between Washington and Tehran become stuck, the Middle East is entering a dangerous phase. Since a fragile ceasefire was reached two months ago, both the United States and Iran seem to want to avoid military confrontation. However, as the stalemate continues, the threats of escalation are increasing.
In this atmosphere, the entire region is becoming more fragile. Last Sunday, the Wall Street Journal reported on Israel’s construction of a clandestine outpost in Iraq. The same newspaper also mentioned that the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia had carried out direct strikes against Iran as part of the conflict. These events illustrate the crystallization of regional fractures in a climate of uncertainty and economic pressures.
One central question remains: how long can Iran withstand the pressure of the American embargo?
In this context, not only the stability of the Iranian regime but also the entire regional balance is at stake.
L’Orient-Le Jour
Until when will the situation between the United States and Iran remain sustainable? Since the fragile ceasefire a little over two months ago, the two adversaries seem to want to avoid direct war. But as the stalemate continues, the rhetoric is hardening. Could war resume as tensions between Iran and the United States escalate? Noura Doukhi analyzes.
Last week, the Wall Street Journal reported that the United Arab Emirates themselves conducted military operations against Iran in early April, while only the United States and Israel claimed responsibility for attacks on Tehran. The strikes reportedly targeted oil installations in the Lavan area, an Iranian territory in the Gulf. L’Orient-Le Jour explains.
Despite the war led by the United States and Israel, the Iranian regime shows surprising resilience. Anthropologist Sepideh Parsapajouh, a specialist in religious affairs in Iran at the National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS), discusses the stability and political-religious reconfigurations of the regime in the face of war.
According to revelations from the Wall Street Journal, Israel set up a clandestine military outpost in the Iraqi desert just before the start of the war to support its aerial campaign against Iran. According to sources contacted by the American newspaper, the outpost housed special forces and served as a logistical center for the Israeli Air Force with the knowledge of the United States. L’Orient-Le Jour explains.
Facing the maritime blockade imposed by Washington since April 13 on all entry and exit from Iranian ports, Tehran appears to be showing signs of impatience. Under economic pressure and while waiting to break the impasse, Iran still intends to resist, at the expense of its population. Laure-Maïssa Farjallah analyzes.
We still do not know the outcome of the war between the United States and Israel on one side, and Iran on the other. Omar Kaddour also questions why the issue of war and post-war does not occupy the public debate among the Middle Eastern populations as it should. Read Omar Kaddour’s perspective.
Saudi Arabia reportedly conducted several strikes against Iran at the end of March, according to Reuters, two Western officials, and two Iranian officials. These attacks were in retaliation for those carried out on its territory during the Middle East war, but Saudi Arabia did not claim responsibility. L’Orient-Le Jour explains.

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