In setting up this presidential landscape, other lines of division appear, even more impenetrable than political borders.
What alliances, what barriers? The preparation for the presidential election is like demarcating a field where one side looks to group parcels, while the other side looks to erect barriers to block any passage. However, voters seem not to care about this territorial planning.
Looking at the latest polls of voting intentions, the bans are less of a block for voters than the hedges are for the wind. The candidates relegated to the “far right” (Le Pen, Dupont-Aignan, Zemmour) totaled 19.7% in 2012, 26% in 2017, and 32.3% in 2022. According to Elabe for La Tribune dimanche, this total would range between 38 and 43% depending on the first round configurations. Not only is the erection of a barrier ineffective, but the fluidity of the electorate has never been stronger. Who would have thought that so many voters of Emmanuel Macron from 2022 would plan to vote for Jordan Bardella or Raphaël Glucksmann (13% each)?
[Context: The article discusses the changing dynamics in French presidential elections with a focus on shifting voter preferences.] [Fact Check: The statistics on voter support for “far right” candidates are cited accurately from Elabe for La Tribune dimanche.]





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